Predicting Hotspots: Using Machine Learning to Understand Civil Conflict - Image 1

£72.44

Lexington Books Predicting Hotspots: Using Machine Learning to Understand Civil Conflict

Name: Predicting Hotspots: Using Machine Learning to Understand Civil Conflict
Brand: Lexington Books
Price: 72.44 GBP
Availability: InStock

Professional Finance

This is the most expensive it has ever been. Walk away.

£72 today · previous high £72 · all-time low £72

NEW HERE?

Amazon shows you one price. We show you all of them.

Tosheroon watches Amazon prices so you don't have to. Every product on Amazon has a price history — we make it visible. Set the price you'd actually pay, and we'll email you the second it gets there. No app, no account, one email.

WHAT'S ON THIS PAGE

↓ Price chart
when this has been cheap or pricey

↓ Forecast
where the price is heading next

↓ Statistics
all-time high & low, recent range

↑ Price alert
name your number, we'll email you

Price History & Forecast

Grey patches = out of stock. Cheaper = lower on the chart. Hover for exact prices.

Last 71 days · 71 data points (no recent data)

Historical

Generating forecast…

Price Distribution

Price distribution over 71 days • 1 price levels

Days at Price

Price Analysis

Most common price: £72 (71 days, 100.0%)

Price range: £72 - £72

Price levels: 1 different prices over 71 days

Description

This book should be useful to anyone interested in identifying the causes of civil conflict and doing something to end it. It even suggests a pathway for the lay reader. Civil conflict is a persistent source of misery to humankind. Its study, however, lacks a comprehensive theory of its causes. Nevertheless, the question of cooperation or conflict is at the heart of political economy. This book introduces Machine Learning to explore whether there even is a unified theory of conflict, and if there is, whether it is a ‘good’ one. A good theory is one that not only identifies the causes of conflict, but also identifies those causes that predict conflict. Machine learning algorithms use out of sample techniques to choose between competing hypotheses about the sources of conflict according to their predictive accuracy. This theoretically agnostic ‘picking’ has the added benefit of offering some protection against many of the problems noted in the current literature; the tangled causality between conflict and its correlates, the relative rarity of civil conflict at a global level, missing data, and spectacular statistical assumptions. This book argues that the search for a unified theory of conflict must begin among these more predictive sources of civil conflict. In fact, in the book, there is a clear sense that game theoretic rational choice models of bargaining/commitment failure predict conflict better than any other approach. In addition, the algorithms highlight the fact that conflict is path dependent - it tends to continue once started. This is intuitive in many ways but is roundly ignored as a matter of science. It should not. Further, those causes of conflict that best predict conflict can be used as policy levers to end or prevent conflict. This book should therefore be of interest to military and civil leaders engaged in ending civil conflict. Last, though not least, the book highlights how the sources of conflict affect conflict. This additional insight may allow the crafting of policies that match a country’s specific circumstance.

Product Specifications

Brand: Lexington Books
Format: hardcover
ASIN: 1498520677
Category: Books > Subjects > Business, Finance & Law > Professional Finance
Domain: Amazon UK
Release Date: 15 September 2018
Listed Since: 12 June 2018

Barcode

No barcode data available

Lexington Books Predicting Hotspots: Using Machine Learning to Understand Civil Conflict

This is the most expensive it has ever been. Walk away.

Price History & Forecast

Price Distribution

Price Analysis

Description

Product Specifications

Barcode

Similar Products You Might Like

Conflict Resolution Using the Graph Model: Strategic Interactions in Competition and Cooperation: 153 (Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 153)

The Social Psychology of Intractable Conflicts: Celebrating the Legacy of Daniel Bar-Tal, Volume I: 27 (Peace Psychology Book Series, 27)

The Dynamics of Conflict: A Guide to Engagement and Intervention

Understanding Civil Wars: Continuity and change in intrastate conflict (Routledge Studies in Civil Wars and Intra-State Conflict)

Conflict and Multimodal Communication: Social Research and Machine Intelligence (Computational Social Sciences)

Rethinking Masculinities: Ideology, Identity and Change in the People’s War in Nepal and its Aftermath (Men and Masculinities in a Transnational World)

Prefiguring Peace: Israeli-Palestinian Peacebuilding Partnerships

Konflikt und Frieden - Interkulturelle Mediation und Mahatma Gandhi: Der Weg zu einem friedlichen Miteinander

Culture and International Relations

Agent-Based Modeling of Social Conflict: From Mechanisms to Complex Behavior (SpringerBriefs in Complexity)

Transactional Analysis as an Effective Conceptual Framework & a Dynamic Strategy for Peace Education: Practices, Trends & Challenges for International ... & Reconciliation (Global Political Studies)

Armed Forces and Conflict Resolution: Sociological Perspectives: 7 (Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development, 7)

Peace Journalism in Times of War: Volume 13: Peace and Policy

Prescription for Social Dilemmas: Psychology for Urban, Transportation, and Environmental Problems

Conflict Resolution and Ontological Security: Peace Anxieties (PRIO New Security Studies)

The Social Psychology of Intractable Conflicts: Celebrating the Legacy of Daniel Bar-Tal, Volume I: 27 (Peace Psychology Book Series, 27)

Human security: from concept to practice - case studies from northeast india and orissa: FR CONCEPT TO PRACT..(V1): 1 (World Scientific Series On Human Security)

Prescription for Social Dilemmas: Psychology for Urban, Transportation, and Environmental Problems

Konsolidierung zwischen Markt und Staat: Die Bedeutung der Arbeitsbeziehungen für die Demokratisierung in Spanien und Ungarn: 49 (Forschung Politik, 49)

Sovereignty and its Discontents: On the Primacy of Conflict and the Structure of the Political (Birkbeck Law Press)

Simulations of Decision-Making as Active Learning Tools: Design and Effects of Political Science Simulations: 22 (Professional and Practice-based Learning, 22)

Redefining Theory and Practice to Guide Social Transformation: Emerging Research and Opportunities (Advances in Public Policy and Administration)

Implementing Negotiated Agreements: The Real Challenge to Intrastate Peace

Winning the Peace: The Strategic Implications of Military Civic Action