The 2013 Import and Export Market for Perfumes and Toilet Waters in Bulgaria

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on perfumes and toilet waters in Bulgaria face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying perfumes and toilet waters to Bulgaria? How important is Bulgaria compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of perfumes and toilet waters vary from one country of origin to another in Bulgaria? On the supply side, Bulgaria also exports perfumes and toilet waters. Which countries receive the most exports from Bulgaria? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers? This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for perfumes and toilet waters in Bulgaria. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for perfumes and toilet waters for those countries serving Bulgaria via exports, or supplying from Bulgaria via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models. In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Bulgaria fits into the world market for imported and exported perfumes and toilet waters. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Bulgaria in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are