£114.66

A General Theory of Evidence and Proof: Forming Beliefs in Truth: 148 (Law and Philosophy Library, 148)

Law

Price data last checked 146 day(s) ago - refreshing...

View at Amazon

We'll watch every seller, every day. One email when your price arrives.

This is the usual price. Wait for it to drop, or tell us your number.

£115 today · usual range £0–£0 · best ever £89

NEW HERE?

Amazon shows you one price. We show you all of them.

Tosheroon watches Amazon prices so you don't have to. Every product on Amazon has a price history — we make it visible. Set the price you'd actually pay, and we'll email you the second it gets there. No app, no account, one email.

WHAT'S ON THIS PAGE

↓ Price chart
when this has been cheap or pricey

↓ Forecast
where the price is heading next

↓ Statistics
all-time high & low, recent range

↑ Price alert
name your number, we'll email you

Price History & Forecast

Grey patches = out of stock. Cheaper = lower on the chart. Hover for exact prices.

Last 167 days • 167 data points (No recent data available)

Historical

Generating forecast...

Price Distribution

Price distribution over 167 days • 9 price levels

Days at Price

Current Price

Price Analysis

Most common price: £119 (50 days, 29.9%)

Price range: £89 - £121

Price levels: 9 different prices over 167 days

Description

This book reframes the fundamentals of decisionmaking under uncertainty. For almost a century, theorists have spoken of truth-finding in terms of probability. They have said things like some past fact was 51% certain or proclaimed that in a civil dispute a fact must be shown to exceed a 50% likelihood. But such talk is a misleading misconception. The reason is that traditional probability fails to distinguish epistemic uncertainty from aleatory uncertainty. This conflation leads to mistakes such as invoking probability’s product rules, which calculate a conjunction’s likelihood as being low. From there, the theorists have argued that in a myriad of ways, the law violates the probability calculus unforgivably. Today, other theorists are newly realizing that in large part the law does not deal in probability. They now can defend the way that law has found facts since long before the invention of probability and on to the present. They are also reevaluating such intuitive practices as those that humans use in daily life to combine inferences upon inferences. A hotly contested literature has emerged. In a significant, comprehensive, and original contribution, this book develops a theoretical justification for the intuitive approaches that humans deploy across a broad range of decisionmaking. Instead of probability, the book focuses on degrees of belief that estimate, given the state of the evidence, how far a proposition has been fully proven. Instead of combining findings by the rules of probability, the book uses the rules of multivalent logic. The aim is to illuminate decisionmaking outside statistical analysis, showing that our ancient wisdom is in fact theoretically solid. The target is everyone interested in improving decisionmaking.

Product Specifications

Format: hardcover
ASIN: 3031665511
Category: Books > Subjects > Business, Finance & Law > Law
Domain: Amazon UK
Release Date: 03 October 2024
Listed Since: 18 June 2024

Barcode

No barcode data available

A General Theory of Evidence and Proof: Forming Beliefs in Truth: 148 (Law and Philosophy Library, 148)

This is the usual price. Wait for it to drop, or tell us your number.

Price History & Forecast

Price Distribution

Price Analysis

Description

Product Specifications

Barcode

Similar Products You Might Like

Rationality and Belief

The True and the Good: A Strong Virtue Theory of the Value of Truth

Philosophical Analysis: A Defense by Example: 39 (Philosophical Studies Series, 39)

Modal Logic for Philosophers

Outline of a Nominalist Theory of Propositions: An Essay in the Theory of Meaning and in the Philosophy of Logic: 98 (Synthese Library, 98)

Impossible Worlds

Context, Conflict and Reasoning: Proceedings of the Fifth Asian Workshop on Philosophical Logic (Logic in Asia: Studia Logica Library)

Probability Logics: Probability-Based Formalization of Uncertain Reasoning

Philosophical Logic: Current Trends in Asia: Proceedings of AWPL-TPLC 2016 (Logic in Asia: Studia Logica Library)

Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference (Morgan Kaufmann Series in Representation and Reasoning)

Bayes Theory (Springer Series in Statistics)

The Shape of Reason: Essays in Honour of Paolo Legrenzi (Psychology Press Festschrift Series)

Johan van Benthem on Logic and Information Dynamics: 5 (Outstanding Contributions to Logic, 5)

Handbook of Philosophical Logic: 5

Philosophy and Cognitive Science: Western & Eastern Studies: 2 (Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics, 2)

Oxford Handbook of Reasons and Normativity (Oxford Handbooks)

Springer Handbook of Philosophical Logic: 2nd Edition

FUNCTIONAL INTERPRETATION OF LOGICAL DEDUCTION, THE: 5 (Advances In Logic)

Truth, Error, and Criminal Law: An Essay in Legal Epistemology (Cambridge Studies in Philosophy and Law)

Topics of Thought: The Logic of Knowledge, Belief, Imagination

Routledge - Logic and Uncertainty in the Human Mind Book

Philosophy and Cognitive Science: Western & Eastern Studies: 2 (Studies in Applied Philosophy, Epistemology and Rational Ethics, 2)