Springer The Future of the Gulf Region: Value Change and Global Cycles: 2 (Gulf Studies, 2)

This book studies values and attitudes in the Gulf region. In light of global power shifts, the threatening collapse of internal security in the West, and uncertainty about the current leadership vacuum in world society, this book explores a future leading role of the Gulf countries in such institutions as the G-20 and the OECD. Based on rigorous analysis of macro-level data and opinion surveys with relevance for the Gulf region, it analyzes the global macro-factors shaping the Gulf's future at a time of the global COVID-19 crisis and depression and rising global tensions. Starting with an empirical time series analysis of the long cycles of global politics and economics, it highlights the implications for the Gulf region. Offering a multivariate analysis of civil society values in the Gulf, the author analyzes value changes and attitudes on antisemitism, political Islam, internal security, democracy, and other issues of Arab politics. The partially optimistic conclusions of the study testify to the underestimated and incipient maturity of the Gulf’s civil society and strongly suggest that the Gulf's future is rather with the free societies of the West and not with a Neo-Ottoman Empire in whatever form. "Exceptional in scope and right up-to-the-minute in coverage" Brian M Pollins, Associate, Professor Emeritus, The Ohio State University. "An outstanding and topical book by an astute scholar of the MENA region" Professor Hussein Solomon, Academic Head of Department, Political Studies and Governance, University of the Free State, South Africa. "The most comprehensive and insightful study on the subject to date" Manfred B. Steger, Professor of Sociology, University of Hawai'i at Manoa and Global Professorial Fellow, Western Sydney University. Review “As a researcher with a long background in cross-national research (from The World Handbook of Political and Social Indicators to my current work leading a global social research company), I was thrilled to read Arno Tausch’s latest book.  While the very timely focus is on the Gulf countries, the book provides a broad benefit to researchers through its use of multiple data sources, multi-variate statistical analysis, and comparisons of aggregate and survey-based data (such as the World Values Survey, the Arab Barometer, and Pew’s Global Attitudes Project), all of which are available to the public. The author is well aware of how one’s personal values and orientation can affect quantitative analysis, as the numbers seldom speak for themselves. The book has abundant (so ramp up your mouse’s scroll speed) reference materials, links to data sources, and excellent data presentation with choropleth maps. This book should be on the “shelf” of every student of the Middle East, development, and public opinion research”. David A. Jodice, Founder and CEO, D3 Systems, Inc.   “Excellent work, well informed about the Arab World, with insightful references to quantitative data and opinion surveys. Few books may rival with this well-documented exploration of the Gulf’s future. A must-read”. Dr. Hichem Karoui, Director at large of "The Gulf Futures Center," London.   "This book represents an unprecedented research work relating to a subject that has not received the adequate response from the scientific community. Arno Tausch deserves our admiration for the formidable work done on this subject. No doubt that it is a great contribution to our understanding the role of the different actors referred to in this monumental research book." Dr. Jacques Neriah, Late Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin’s Foreign Policy Adviser and Editor of Jewish Political Studies Review   “This book is exceptional in scope and right up-to-the-minute in coverage. Dr, Arno Tausch has unusual command of literatures in international relations and comparative politics which he applies to this insightful study of the Gulf States.  Tausch presents original empirical results and interprets relevan