Cognition and Chance: The Psychology of Probabilistic Reasoning - Image 1

£77.95

Psychology Press Cognition and Chance: The Psychology of Probabilistic Reasoning

Name: Cognition and Chance: The Psychology of Probabilistic Reasoning
Brand: Psychology Press
Price: 77.95 GBP
Availability: InStock

Biography

This is the most expensive it has ever been. Walk away.

£78 today · previous high £78 · all-time low £78

NEW HERE?

Amazon shows you one price. We show you all of them.

Tosheroon watches Amazon prices so you don't have to. Every product on Amazon has a price history — we make it visible. Set the price you'd actually pay, and we'll email you the second it gets there. No app, no account, one email.

WHAT'S ON THIS PAGE

↓ Price chart
when this has been cheap or pricey

↓ Forecast
where the price is heading next

↓ Statistics
all-time high & low, recent range

↑ Price alert
name your number, we'll email you

Price History & Forecast

Grey patches = out of stock. Cheaper = lower on the chart. Hover for exact prices.

Last 76 days · 76 data points (no recent data)

Historical

Generating forecast…

Price Distribution

Price distribution over 76 days • 1 price levels

Days at Price

Price Analysis

Most common price: £78 (76 days, 100.0%)

Price range: £78 - £78

Price levels: 1 different prices over 76 days

Description

Lack of ability to think probabilistically makes one prone to a variety of irrational fears and vulnerable to scams designed to exploit probabilistic naiveté, impairs decision making under uncertainty, facilitates the misinterpretation of statistical information, and precludes critical evaluation of likelihood claims. Cognition and Chance presents an overview of the information needed to avoid such pitfalls and to assess and respond to probabilistic situations in a rational way. Dr. Nickerson investigates such questions as how good individuals are at thinking probabilistically and how consistent their reasoning under uncertainty is with principles of mathematical statistics and probability theory. He reviews evidence that has been produced in researchers' attempts to investigate these and similar types of questions. Seven conceptual chapters address such topics as probability, chance, randomness, coincidences, inverse probability, paradoxes, dilemmas, and statistics. The remaining five chapters focus on empirical studies of individuals' abilities and limitations as probabilistic thinkers. Topics include estimation and prediction, perception of covariation, choice under uncertainty, and people as intuitive probabilists. Cognition and Chance is intended to appeal to researchers and students in the areas of probability, statistics, psychology, business, economics, decision theory, and social dilemmas.

Product Specifications

Brand: Psychology Press
Format: paperback
ASIN: 0805848991
Category: Books > Subjects > Biography
Domain: Amazon UK
Release Date: 14 July 2004
Listed Since: 02 February 2007

Barcode

No barcode data available

Psychology Press Cognition and Chance: The Psychology of Probabilistic Reasoning

This is the most expensive it has ever been. Walk away.

Price History & Forecast

Price Distribution

Price Analysis

Description

Product Specifications

Barcode

Similar Products You Might Like

Chance, Logic and Intuition: An Introduction to the Counter-Intuitive Logic of Chance

Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives

Advances in Chance Discovery: Extended Selection from International Workshops: 423 (Studies in Computational Intelligence, 423)

Coming to Terms with Chance: Engaging Rational Discrimination and Cumulative Disadvantage

Chance and Error: The Theory of Evolution (Routledge Revivals)

Chance in Physics, Computer Science and Philosophy: Chance as the Foundation of the World (Die blaue Stunde der Informatik)

Chance Action Therapy: The Playful Way of Changing (Health & Human Development Series)

Foundations of Constructive Probability Theory: 177 (Encyclopedia of Mathematics and its Applications, Series Number 177)

THEORIES OF PROBABILITY: AN EXAMINATION OF LOGICAL AND QUALITATIVE FOUNDATIONS: 2 (Advanced Series on Mathematical Psychology)

The Doctrine of Chances: A Method of Calculating the Probabilities of Events in Play (AMS/Chelsea Publication)

Chance Encounters: Probability in Education: 12 (Mathematics Education Library, 12)

Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings: Contemporary Readings (Routledge Contemporary Readings in Philosophy)

Today and Tomorrow Volume 14 Society and the State: Archon or the Future of Government Cain or the Future of Crime Solon or the Price of Justice ... of the Law Fortuna, or Chance and Design

Teaching and Learning Stochastics: Advances in Probability Education Research (ICME-13 Monographs)

Springer Teaching and Learning Stochastics Probability Research

Routledge Probability: A Philosophical Introduction - Book

The Pleasures of Probability (Undergraduate Texts in Mathematics)

Probability Theory: The Logic of Science