Judgment and Choice: The Psychology of Decision - Image 1

£173.14

Wiley Judgment and Choice: The Psychology of Decision

Name: Judgment and Choice: The Psychology of Decision
Brand: Wiley
Price: 173.14 GBP
Availability: InStock

Management Science

This is the usual price. Wait for it to drop, or tell us your number.

£173 today · usual range £0–£0 · best ever £33

NEW HERE?

Amazon shows you one price. We show you all of them.

Tosheroon watches Amazon prices so you don't have to. Every product on Amazon has a price history — we make it visible. Set the price you'd actually pay, and we'll email you the second it gets there. No app, no account, one email.

WHAT'S ON THIS PAGE

↓ Price chart
when this has been cheap or pricey

↓ Forecast
where the price is heading next

↓ Statistics
all-time high & low, recent range

↑ Price alert
name your number, we'll email you

Price History & Forecast

Grey patches = out of stock. Cheaper = lower on the chart. Hover for exact prices.

Last 625 days • 625 data points (No recent data available)

Historical

Generating forecast...

Price Distribution

Price distribution over 625 days • 5 price ranges

Days at Price

Current Price

Price Analysis

Most common range: £189-228 (272 days, 43.5%)

Price range: £33 - £228

Price levels: 5 price ranges over 625 days

Description

Despite the many formal methods available most decisions are made intuitively?that is, without apparent reasoning and almost instinctively. This revised and updated edition emphasizes the unstructured and natural way people make judgements and exercise choice, which accounts for almost all real decision-making activity, but argues that intuition can be both studied and educated. The book is quite different from standard texts on decision-making methodology and standard decisions theory in that it is written from the point of view of a psychologist who recognizes that almost all decisions are based on anticipations people make about the future (predictive judgements) which lead to choices or decisions largely based on intuition. Written in a clear and non-technical way it deals with the basis of intuitive judgement, demonstrates the limitations on the human ability to make judgements, and suggests the means of overcoming potential shortcomings. At the same time it stresses the importance of learning the limits to one?s judgmental a bility. The purpose of this book is to help people make better decisions. In a world of increasing uncertainty and complexity Judgement and Choice will be of great value to all decision makers?in commerce, government service, medicine or any other professional activity. Contents Preface; The nature of human judgement; Randomness and the probabilistic environment; Combining information for prediction; Combining information for evaluation and choice; Choice under uncertainty; On learning relations; The role of memory in judgement; Creativity, imagination, and choice; Problem structuring and decision aids; Human judgement?an overview; Appendices; Index Reviews of the First Edition ??I believe that Professor Hogarth?s book will prove to be of historical importance in the development of the field of human judgement.? R.M. Corbin, Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 1. 1982. ??Hogarth has given us a clear, integrated treatment of the major issues in the field and has managed to convey both the excitement of the work itself and the direct practical implications of the findings.? Terry Connolly, ASQ, June 1982.

Product Specifications

Brand: Wiley
Format: hardcover
ASIN: 0471914797
Category: Books > Subjects > Business, Finance & Law > Management > Management Science
Domain: Amazon UK
Release Date: 29 July 1987
Listed Since: 09 February 2007

Barcode

No barcode data available

Wiley Judgment and Choice: The Psychology of Decision

This is the usual price. Wait for it to drop, or tell us your number.

Price History & Forecast

Price Distribution

Price Analysis

Description

Product Specifications

Barcode

Similar Products You Might Like

Judgment in Predictive Analytics: 343 (International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 343)

Forecasting and Market Analysis Techniques: A Practical Approach

Prediction Markets: Theory and Applications (Routledge International Studies in Money and Banking)

The Palgrave Handbook of Government Budget Forecasting (Palgrave Studies in Public Debt, Spending, and Revenue)

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting: 5

Integrating Soft Computing into Strategic Prospective Methods: Towards an Adaptive Learning Environment Supported by Futures Studies: 387 (Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, 387)

Principles of Forecasting: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners: 30 (International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 30)

Advanced Forecasting with Python: With State-of-the-Art-Models Including LSTMs, Facebook’s Prophet, and Amazon’s DeepAR

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting: 4

Advances in Business and Management Forecasting: 3

Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Vol 2B: Volume 2b

Multicriteria and Multiagent Decision Making with Applications to Economics and Social Sciences: 305 (Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, 305)

Fuzzy Cognitive Maps: Best Practices and Modern Methods

Handbook of Economic Forecasting (Volume 1)

Reverse Hypothesis Machine Learning: A Practitioner's Perspective: 128 (Intelligent Systems Reference Library, 128)

Multicriteria and Multiagent Decision Making with Applications to Economics and Social Sciences: 305 (Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, 305)

Business and Economic Forecasting for the Information Age: A Practical Approach

Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Vol 2A: Volume 2a

Intelligent Decision Technologies: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT´2012) - Volume 2: 16 (Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, 16)

Intelligent Decision Technologies: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT´2012) - Volume 2: 16 (Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, 16)

Big Data and Social Science: Data Science Methods and Tools for Research and Practice (Chapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences)

Interactive Data Visualization: Foundations, Techniques, and Applications, Second Edition (360 Degree Business)

Computational Intelligence and Its Applications in Healthcare

Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions